Xinjiang Agricultural Sciences ›› 2023, Vol. 60 ›› Issue (1): 252-260.DOI: 10.6048/j.issn.1001-4330.2023.01.029
• Plant Protection · Soil Fertilizer · Prataculture · Animal Husbandry Veterinarian • Previous Articles
CHEN Yulan1(), CHENG Xurui1, GUO Jun2(), SU Wuzheng2()
Received:
2022-05-14
Online:
2023-01-20
Published:
2023-03-07
Correspondence author:
GUO Jun (1975-), male, Han nationality, Urumqi, associate researcher, research field: Agricultural information,(E-mail)58411531@qq.com;SU Wuzheng (1978-), male, Han nationality, Chongqing, researcher, research field: rural development and management,(E-mail)1326477375@qq.com
Supported by:
通讯作者:
郭君(1975-),男,新疆乌鲁木齐人,副研究员,研究方向为农业信息与农业经济,(E-mail)58411531@qq.com;苏武峥(1978-),男,重庆人,研究员,研究方向为农村发展与管理,(E-mail)1326477375@qq.com
作者简介:
陈玉兰(1980-),女,新疆乌鲁木齐人,教授,硕士生导师,研究方向为农业经济,(E-mail)75991174@qq.com
基金资助:
CLC Number:
CHEN Yulan, CHENG Xurui, GUO Jun, SU Wuzheng. Regional Difference and Dynamic Evolution of Agricultural Green Development Level in China[J]. Xinjiang Agricultural Sciences, 2023, 60(1): 252-260.
陈玉兰, 程旭睿, 郭君, 苏武峥. 我国农业绿色发展水平地区差异及分布动态演进[J]. 新疆农业科学, 2023, 60(1): 252-260.
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URL: http://www.xjnykx.com/EN/10.6048/j.issn.1001-4330.2023.01.029
一级指标 Level 1 indicators | 二级指标 Level 2 indicators | 三级指标 Level 3 indicators | 指标计算公式 Resource and environmental security | 指标类型 Type of indicator |
---|---|---|---|---|
农业绿色发展 指数 Agricultural green development index | 经济增收 | 农业人均GDP | 第一产业总产值/乡村人口数 | 正 |
农村居民人均可支配收入 | 农村居民人均可支配收入 | 正 | ||
土地产出率 | 第一产业总产值/农作物播种面积 | 正 | ||
资源减量投入 | 农业节水系数 | 农作物播种面积/农业用水总量 | 正 | |
机械有效利用系数 | 农业机械总动力/农作物播种面积 | 正 | ||
农业能耗指标 | 农用柴油使用量/第一产业总产值 | 负 | ||
化肥施用强度 | 化肥施用折纯量/农作物播种面积 | 负 | ||
农药使用强度 | 农药使用量/农作物播种面积 | 负 | ||
农膜使用强度 | 农膜使用量/农作物播种面积 | 负 | ||
资源环境安全 | 有效灌溉系数 | 有效灌溉面积/农作物播种面积 | 正 | |
森林覆盖率 | 森林覆盖率 | 正 | ||
自然保护区面积比重 | 自然保护区面积比重 | 正 | ||
湿地面积比重 | 湿地面积比重 | 正 |
Table 1 Evaluation system of China's agricultural green development level
一级指标 Level 1 indicators | 二级指标 Level 2 indicators | 三级指标 Level 3 indicators | 指标计算公式 Resource and environmental security | 指标类型 Type of indicator |
---|---|---|---|---|
农业绿色发展 指数 Agricultural green development index | 经济增收 | 农业人均GDP | 第一产业总产值/乡村人口数 | 正 |
农村居民人均可支配收入 | 农村居民人均可支配收入 | 正 | ||
土地产出率 | 第一产业总产值/农作物播种面积 | 正 | ||
资源减量投入 | 农业节水系数 | 农作物播种面积/农业用水总量 | 正 | |
机械有效利用系数 | 农业机械总动力/农作物播种面积 | 正 | ||
农业能耗指标 | 农用柴油使用量/第一产业总产值 | 负 | ||
化肥施用强度 | 化肥施用折纯量/农作物播种面积 | 负 | ||
农药使用强度 | 农药使用量/农作物播种面积 | 负 | ||
农膜使用强度 | 农膜使用量/农作物播种面积 | 负 | ||
资源环境安全 | 有效灌溉系数 | 有效灌溉面积/农作物播种面积 | 正 | |
森林覆盖率 | 森林覆盖率 | 正 | ||
自然保护区面积比重 | 自然保护区面积比重 | 正 | ||
湿地面积比重 | 湿地面积比重 | 正 |
年份 Years | 全国 National | 地区内基尼系数 Gini coefficient in the region | 地区间基尼系数 Int er-regional Gini coefficient | 贡献率 Contribution | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
超变密度 Hyperva riable density | 东 East | 中 Middle | 西 West | 东-中 East- Middle | 东-西 East- West | 中-西 Middle- West | 地区内 Region | 地区间 Inter- regional | ||
2010 | 0.094 | 0.055 | 0.053 | 0.1 13 | 0.069 | 0.102 | 0.093 | 28.766 | 40.96 | 30.274 |
2011 | 0.095 | 0.053 | 0.057 | 0.111 | 0.071 | 0.103 | 0.092 | 27.823 | 44.623 | 27.554 |
2012 | 0.097 | 0.054 | 0.06. | 0.107 | 0.074 | 0.105 | 0.091 | 27.041 | 47.307 | 25.652 |
2013 | 0.102 | 0.065 | 0.054 | 0.102 | 0.086 | 0.109 | 0.086 | 26.319 | 50.54 | 23.141 |
2014 | 0.103 | 0.068 | 0.049 | 0.103 | 0.086 | 0.112 | 0.085 | 26.097 | 51.693 | 22.21 |
2015 | 0.104 | 0.066 | 0.053 | 0.101 | 0.088 | 0.112 | 0.085 | 25.519 | 52.42 | 22.061 |
2016 | 0.109 | 0.077 | 0.065 | 0.099 | 0.097 | 0.116 | 0.089 | 26.242 | 52.797 | 20.961 |
2017 | 0.1 l | 0.078 | 0.067 | 0.094 | 0.101 | 0.115 | 0.087 | 25.76 | 54.38 | 19.86 |
2018 | 0.108 | 0.079 | 0.063 | 0.091 | 0.101 | 0.113 | 0.082 | 25.714 | 55.621 | 18.665 |
平均增长率 Average growth rate | 0.018 | 0.046 | 0.022 | -0.027 | 0.049 | 0.013 | -0.016 | -0.014 | 0.039 | -0.059 |
Table 2 Gini coefficient and its decomposition results of green agricultural development level in China
年份 Years | 全国 National | 地区内基尼系数 Gini coefficient in the region | 地区间基尼系数 Int er-regional Gini coefficient | 贡献率 Contribution | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
超变密度 Hyperva riable density | 东 East | 中 Middle | 西 West | 东-中 East- Middle | 东-西 East- West | 中-西 Middle- West | 地区内 Region | 地区间 Inter- regional | ||
2010 | 0.094 | 0.055 | 0.053 | 0.1 13 | 0.069 | 0.102 | 0.093 | 28.766 | 40.96 | 30.274 |
2011 | 0.095 | 0.053 | 0.057 | 0.111 | 0.071 | 0.103 | 0.092 | 27.823 | 44.623 | 27.554 |
2012 | 0.097 | 0.054 | 0.06. | 0.107 | 0.074 | 0.105 | 0.091 | 27.041 | 47.307 | 25.652 |
2013 | 0.102 | 0.065 | 0.054 | 0.102 | 0.086 | 0.109 | 0.086 | 26.319 | 50.54 | 23.141 |
2014 | 0.103 | 0.068 | 0.049 | 0.103 | 0.086 | 0.112 | 0.085 | 26.097 | 51.693 | 22.21 |
2015 | 0.104 | 0.066 | 0.053 | 0.101 | 0.088 | 0.112 | 0.085 | 25.519 | 52.42 | 22.061 |
2016 | 0.109 | 0.077 | 0.065 | 0.099 | 0.097 | 0.116 | 0.089 | 26.242 | 52.797 | 20.961 |
2017 | 0.1 l | 0.078 | 0.067 | 0.094 | 0.101 | 0.115 | 0.087 | 25.76 | 54.38 | 19.86 |
2018 | 0.108 | 0.079 | 0.063 | 0.091 | 0.101 | 0.113 | 0.082 | 25.714 | 55.621 | 18.665 |
平均增长率 Average growth rate | 0.018 | 0.046 | 0.022 | -0.027 | 0.049 | 0.013 | -0.016 | -0.014 | 0.039 | -0.059 |
t/t+1 | Ⅰ | Ⅱ | Ⅲ | Ⅳ |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ⅰ | 0.642 9 | 0.357 1 | 0 | 0 |
Ⅱ | 0.012 5 | 0.712 5 | 0.275 | 0 |
Ⅲ | 0 | 0.041 7 | 0.843 8 | 0.114 6 |
Ⅳ | 0 | 0 | 0.022 7 | 0.977 3 |
Table 3 The transfer matrix probability of China's agricultural green development level: 2010-2018
t/t+1 | Ⅰ | Ⅱ | Ⅲ | Ⅳ |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ⅰ | 0.642 9 | 0.357 1 | 0 | 0 |
Ⅱ | 0.012 5 | 0.712 5 | 0.275 | 0 |
Ⅲ | 0 | 0.041 7 | 0.843 8 | 0.114 6 |
Ⅳ | 0 | 0 | 0.022 7 | 0.977 3 |
分布 Distributing | Ⅰ | Ⅱ | Ⅲ | Ⅳ |
---|---|---|---|---|
初始分布 Original distribution | 0.290 3 | 0.419 4 | 0.225 8 | 0.064 5 |
稳态分布 Steady-state distribution | 0.000 9 | 0.024 4 | 0.1613 | 0.813 4 |
Table 4 Initial and steady distribution of green development level of agriculture in China
分布 Distributing | Ⅰ | Ⅱ | Ⅲ | Ⅳ |
---|---|---|---|---|
初始分布 Original distribution | 0.290 3 | 0.419 4 | 0.225 8 | 0.064 5 |
稳态分布 Steady-state distribution | 0.000 9 | 0.024 4 | 0.1613 | 0.813 4 |
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