基于Landsat影像的伊犁河流域草地地上生物量演变分析

doi:10.6048/j.issn.1001-4330.2025.02.024

新疆农业科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (2): 463-473.DOI: 10.6048/j.issn.1001-4330.2025.02.024

• 草业·畜牧兽医·农业经济 • 上一篇下一篇

基于Landsat影像的伊犁河流域草地地上生物量演变分析

李超¹(), 范天文², 吐尔逊江·艾力木别克², 贺军², 李建伟², 文俊³, 张琳², 靳瑰丽¹(), 李莹¹, 刘文昊¹, 王生菊¹

1.新疆农业大学草业学院/新疆草地资源与生态重点实验室/西部干旱荒漠区草地资源与生态教育部重点实验室,乌鲁木齐 830052
2.伊犁哈萨克自治州草原工作站,新疆伊宁 835000
3.伊犁哈萨克自治州林业和草原局,新疆伊宁 835000

收稿日期:2024-08-13 出版日期:2025-02-20 发布日期:2025-04-17
通信作者: 靳瑰丽(1979-),女,新疆乌鲁木齐人,教授,博士,硕士生/博士生导师,研究方向为草地资源与生态,(E-mail)jguili@126.com
作者简介:李超(1999-),男,江西吉水人,硕士研究生,研究方向为草原学,(E-mail)206288339@qq.com
基金资助:
第三次新疆综合科学考察项目(2022xjkk0401);伊犁哈萨克自治州草原生态综合监测项目

Above ground biomass evolution analysis of grassland in Ili River Basin based on landsat imagery

LI Chao¹(), FAN Tianwen², Tuerxunjiang Ailimubieke², HE Jun², LI Jianwei², WEN Jun³, ZHANG Lin², JIN Guili¹(), LI Ying¹, LIU Wenhao¹, WANG Shengju¹

1. Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Grassland Resources and Ecology/Key Laboratory of Grassland Resources and Ecology in Western Arid Region, Ministry of Education / College of Grassland Science,Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052,China
2. Grassland Workstation of Ili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture, Yining Xinjiang 835000,China
3. Bureau of Forestry and Grassland of Ili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture, Yining Xinjiang 835000, China

Received:2024-08-13 Published:2025-02-20 Online:2025-04-17
Supported by:
Third Comprehensive Scientific Investigation Project in Xinjiang(2022xjkk0401);Comprehensive Monitoring of Grassland Ecology in Ili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

【目的】分析伊犁河流域草地地上生物量(Above ground biomass,AGB)的演变,为合理利用该草地提供科学依据。【方法】采用1990~2022年Landsat数据与实测数据相结合,构建伊犁河流域草地AGB反演模型,分析该流域及流域内10个县(市)草地AGB时空演变特征及其稳定性,并运用趋势分析和F显著性检验揭示草地的历史演变规律。【结果】在建立的回归模型中,二次函数反演模型精度最高,其验证精度为71.22%,可用于伊犁河流域草地AGB反演;在时间变化上,1990~2022年伊犁河流域草地AGB呈现波动增加趋势,从1990年的270.60 g/m²增加到2022年的500.22 g/m²,增长速率为8.96 g/(m²·a),其中新源县增加速率最快,为14.57 g/(m²·a);霍尔果斯市增加速率最慢,为4.33 g/(m²·a)。在空间变化上,东部新源县、尼勒克县,南部巩留县、昭苏县及北部伊宁县偏高,西部霍城县、察布查尔锡伯自治县偏低的分布格局;在变化趋势上,伊犁河流域草地AGB主要以改善为主,占草地总面积的59.67%。【结论】近33年来伊犁河流域草地AGB呈现出“大部改善,局部稳定,少量退化”的状态,气候的“暖湿化”以及草地保护的完善为草地AGB的改善提供了有利条件。

关键词: 伊犁河流域; 草地地上生物量; 时空演变

Abstract:

【Objective】The evolution analysis of its grassland aboveground biomass (AGB) is of great significance for scientific understanding and rational utilization of grassland. 【Methods】The spatio-temporal characteristics and stability of grassland AGB in the basin and 10 counties and cities in the basin were analyzed, and the historical evolution regular of grassland was revealed by trend analysis and F-significance test.【Results】Among the established regression models, the quadratic function inversion model had the highest accuracy with a validation accuracy of 71.22%, which could be used for aboveground biomass inversion. From 1990 to 2022, the AGB of grassland in Ili River basin showed a trend of fluctuating increase, from 270.60 g/m² in 1990 to 500.22 g/m² in 2022, with an increase rate of 8.96 g/(m²·a), Xinyuan County had the fastest growth rate of 14.57 g/(m²·a), Khorgos City had the slowest increase rate of 4.33 g/(m²·a). In terms of spatial variation, the distribution pattern demonstrated a relatively high level in Xinyuan County and Nileke County in the east, Gongliu County, Zhaosu County in the south, Yining County in the north, while a relatively low level in Huocheng County, Qapqal Xibe Autonomous County, and Gongliu County in the west. In terms of the change trend, grassland AGB mainly focusee on improvement, accounting for 59.67% of the total grassland area.【Conclusion】In general, in the past 33 years, the grassland AGB in Ili River basin has shown a state of ‘mostly improved, locally stable and slightly degraded’. The ‘warming and humidification’ of climate, the improvement and implementation of grassland protection policies have provided favorable conditions for the better grassland AGB.

Key words: Ili River basin; aboveground biomass of grassland; spatio-temporal evolution

中图分类号:

S812

李超, 范天文, 吐尔逊江·艾力木别克, 贺军, 李建伟, 文俊, 张琳, 靳瑰丽, 李莹, 刘文昊, 王生菊. 基于Landsat影像的伊犁河流域草地地上生物量演变分析[J]. 新疆农业科学, 2025, 62(2): 463-473.

LI Chao, FAN Tianwen, Tuerxunjiang Ailimubieke, HE Jun, LI Jianwei, WEN Jun, ZHANG Lin, JIN Guili, LI Ying, LIU Wenhao, WANG Shengju. Above ground biomass evolution analysis of grassland in Ili River Basin based on landsat imagery[J]. Xinjiang Agricultural Sciences, 2025, 62(2): 463-473.

图/表 12

参考文献 46

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比例	33%	67%

变异系数取值范围 The value range of the coefficient of variation	等级 Grade
<0.37	小
0.37-0.50	较小
0.50-0.68	中
0.68-0.95	较大
>0.95	大

变异系数取值范围 The value range of the coefficient of variation	等级 Grade
<0.37	小
0.37-0.50	较小
0.50-0.68	中
0.68-0.95	较大
>0.95	大

slope与P取值范围 slope and P value range	变化趋势 Changing trends
slope>0,P<0.05	改善
P≥0.05	稳定
slope<0,P<0.05	退化

slope与P取值范围 slope and P value range	变化趋势 Changing trends
slope>0,P<0.05	改善
P≥0.05	稳定
slope<0,P<0.05	退化

模型 Model	模型公式 Model formulas	R²	RE (%)	RMSE (g/m²)	Accuracy (%)
线性函数Univariate linear	y=920.91x-143.92	0.69	69.84	124.16	43.37
二次函数Quadratic function	y=3 065x²-1 673.5x+290.46	0.90	7.59	67.74	69.11
指数函数Exponential function	y=32.9e³^.^{835 2}^x	0.70	11.32	90.89	58.54
幂函数Power function	y=521.26x¹^.^{171 5}	0.55	19.96	148.38	32.33
对数函数Logarithmic function	267.48 ln(x)+492.67	0.57	0.22	103.88	28.11

基于Landsat影像的伊犁河流域草地地上生物量演变分析

Above ground biomass evolution analysis of grassland in Ili River Basin based on landsat imagery

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县(市)名称 County and city name	0~300 (g/m²)	300~600 (g/m²)	600~900 (g/m²)	900~1200 (g/m²)	合计 Total
昭苏县Zhaosu County	7.75	6.25	5.17	0.05	19.22
伊宁县Yining County	3.66	2.59	1.99	0.00	8.24
霍尔果斯市Horgos City	2.21	0.95	0.34	0.00	3.50
察布查尔锡伯自治县 Chabuchaer Xibe Autonomous County	4.79	2.40	0.40	0.00	7.59
巩留县Gongliu County	2.93	3.00	1.62	0.03	7.58
霍城县Huocheng County	2.37	2.19	0.72	0.00	5.29
尼勒克县Nilke County	8.75	5.18	4.65	0.06	18.64
特克斯县Tekes County	6.87	5.34	2.61	0.03	14.86
新源县Xinyuan County	2.72	4.93	6.23	0.03	13.92
伊宁市Yining City	0.66	0.41	0.10	0.00	1.17
合计Total	42.71	33.25	23.84	0.21	100

变异系数等级 Coefficient of variation level	低 Low	较低 Lower	中 Medium	较高 Higher	高 High	合计 Total
昭苏县Zhaosu County	6.70	8.63	3.49	0.36	0.03	19.21
伊宁县Yining County	2.61	3.74	1.30	0.44	0.15	8.24
霍尔果斯市Horgos City	1.57	1.20	0.51	0.18	0.04	3.50
察布查尔锡伯自治县 Chabuchaer Xibe Autonomous County	2.38	2.07	1.15	1.17	0.82	7.59
巩留县Gongliu County	1.72	3.40	1.71	0.55	0.20	7.58
霍城县Huocheng County	1.30	2.35	1.27	0.33	0.04	5.29
尼勒克县Nilke County	4.20	8.75	4.47	1.05	0.16	18.64
特克斯县Tekes County	3.86	6.99	3.10	0.84	0.06	14.86
新源县Xinyuan County	2.02	7.81	3.41	0.64	0.05	13.92
伊宁市Yining City	0.32	0.40	0.29	0.15	0.02	1.17
合计Total	26.68	45.34	20.70	5.71	1.57	100.00

变化趋势 Changing trends	退化 Degenerate	稳定 Stable	改善 Improve	合计 Total
昭苏县Zhaosu County	2.23	6.56	10.45	19.24
伊宁县Yining County	0.72	2.81	4.71	8.23
霍尔果斯市Horgos City	0.67	1.45	1.38	3.50
察布查尔锡伯自治县Chabuchaer Xibe Autonomous County	0.81	2.66	4.13	7.60
巩留县Gongliu County	1.95	0.64	4.98	7.57
霍城县Huocheng County	0.74	1.90	2.65	5.29
尼勒克县Nilke County	2.45	5.47	10.71	18.63
特克斯县Tekes County	2.04	3.89	8.91	14.85
新源县Xinyuan County	0.84	1.81	11.27	13.92
伊宁市Yining City	0.21	0.47	0.49	1.17
合计Total	12.66	27.66	59.68	100.00

[1]	黄志方;海米提·依米提;米日古丽·买买提. 新疆伊犁河流域地下水含盐量的时空变异特征[J]. , 2010, 47(7): 1437-1440.
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