新疆伊犁河谷地区葡萄霜霉病流行与气候条件的关系

Research the Relationship between the Epidemic of Grape Downy Mildew and Climatic Conditions in Ili Valley of Xinjiang

  • 摘要: 【目的】 明确新疆伊犁河谷温度、湿度、降雨量和降雨持续时间对栽培葡萄红地球霜霉病发生发展规律的影响,为探索防治霜霉病关键时期施用化学农药减量增效技术提供理论依据。 【方法】 2012~2016年连续定点调查霜霉病侵染叶片时间、记录病叶受害程度等病害流行情况进行系统监测,建立葡萄霜霉病发生程度预测判别函数进行回测和验证。 【结果】 葡萄霜霉病的发生逐年加重,不同年度霜霉病发病程度有差异,但趋势一致,6月中下旬开始发生,8月病情指数急剧上生,9月中旬达到高峰时维持平稳。当年雨季开始早晚和降雨量大小与病害发生有显著相关性。 【结论】 伊犁河谷红地球葡萄霜霉病流行表现指数增长,按照y = 73.263e0.190 9x,其中 R2 = 0. 970 9此方程确定了该病流行程度的气象因子预测指标。依据此模型对调查葡萄园2012~2016年霜霉病流行程度的预报预测结果和实际发病情况基本一致。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective】 To study the effects of temperature, humidity, rainfall and duration of rainfall on the occurrence and development of Grape Red Globe downy mildew in Yili River Valley of Xinjiang, and to provide the basis for reducing the application of chemical pesticides in the key period of control. 【Methods】 2012-2016, The epidemic situation of downy mildew such as the time of infecting the leaves and the degree of damage of the leaves were systematically monitored. 【Results】 The occurrence of grape downy mildew increased year by year. The incidence of downy mildew was different in different years, but the trend was the same. It began to occur in the middle and late of June. The disease index rose sharply in August, and kept stable when it reached the peak in the middle of September. There was a significant correlation between the onset of rainy season and the rainfall. 【Conclusion】 The epidemic performance index of Grape Downy Mildew in Grape Red Globe of Yili River Valley increased. According to the equation y = 73.263e0.190 9x, R2 = 0. 790,9, the forecast index of meteorological factors for the epidemic degree of grape downy mildew was determined. According to this model, the forecast results of the epidemic degree of downy mildew in the investigated vineyard from 2012 to 2016 are completely consistent with the actual situation.

     

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