Evaluation of agricultural production efficiency in four prefectures in Southern Xinjiang

doi:10.6048/j.issn.1001-4330.2025.05.028

Abstract

Abstract:

【Objective】 Based on the intercropping pattern in four prefectures of southern Xinjiang, this paper aims to construct the index system of agricultural production efficiency and calculate the comprehensive efficiency, technical efficiency and scale efficiency of agricultural production. 【Methods】 Based on 22-year panel data from 2000 to 2021, DEA model method was used to analyze agricultural production efficiency and evaluate the input-output effect of agricultural factors. 【Results】 The agricultural production efficiency of the four prefectures was at a high level, which could effectively promote the rapid progress of agriculture in Xinjiang, but it was still a DEA non-active area.There were many redundant agricultural input factors, which did not achieve the best economic and social benefits. (2) The efficiency of the input index was in the order from good to bad: the number of rural labor force > the sown area of crops > the total power of agricultural machinery > rural electricity consumption > the amount of fertilizer applied > the amount of agricultural plastic film used > the expenditure on agriculture, forestry and water affairs. (3) The scale income was generally in the increasing stage, and the regional production potential could be continuously tapped【Conclusion】 There is a "surplus" of agricultural input factors in the four prefectures in southern Xinjiang, and government departments should strengthen macro-control, release the resources that have been over-invested in the primary industry, optimize the rational allocation of resources, and enhance the efficiency of inputs and outputs. They should do: (1) Rationally adjust the proportion of agricultural financial input and distribution, and optimize the rational allocation of resources, improve the efficiency of agricultural financial expenditure; (2) Guide the transfer of labor to secondary and tertiary industries.(3) Continuously promote the reduction of fertilizer and pesticide dosage and increase efficiency. (4) To improve the level of agricultural equipment and information technology.(5)Adjust planting structure and planting mode to improve the efficiency of land output.

Key words: intercropping pattern; agricultural production efficiency; DEA method

摘要：

【目的】基于新疆南疆四地州间作种植模式下,构建农业生产效率测度指标体系,测算农业生产综合效率、技术效率和规模效率。【方法】以2000~2021年22年面板数据为研究对象,运用DEA模型方法对农业生产效率进行分析,评价农业要素投入产出效果。【结果】(1)新疆南疆四地州农业生产综合效率为0.954,处于较高水平,可有效推动农业快速进步,但仍属于DEA非有效地区,农业投入要素冗余较多,未取得经济和社会的最佳效益。(2)投入指标效率由好到差依次为乡村劳动力人数>农作物播种面积>农业机械总动力>农村用电量>化肥施用量>农用塑料薄膜使用量>农林水事务支出。(3)规模收益总体处于递增阶段,可持续性挖掘区域生产潜力。【结论】新疆南疆四地州农业投入要素存在“过剩”,加强宏观调控将过度投入到第一产业的资源释放出来,优化资源合理配置,提升投入产出效率。(1)合理调整农业财政投入与分配比重,提高农业财政支出使用效率;(2)引导劳动力向二三产业转移。(3)持续推进化肥农药减量增效。(4)提升农业装备和信息化水平。(5)调整种植结构和种植模式,提高土地产出效率。

关键词: 间作模式, 农业生产效率, DEA方法

CLC Number:

TIAN Conghua, CENG Hongmei, ZHANG Lizhao, MIAO Hongping, WANG Hongmei, DAI Junsheng. Evaluation of agricultural production efficiency in four prefectures in Southern Xinjiang[J]. Xinjiang Agricultural Sciences, 2025, 62(5): 1293-1300.

田聪华, 张利召, 苗红萍, 程红梅, 王红梅, 戴俊生. 新疆南疆四地州农业生产效率评价[J]. 新疆农业科学, 2025, 62(5): 1293-1300.

Figures/Tables 5

References 20

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指标 Index	变量 Variable	平均值 Average value	标准差 Standard deviation	个案数 Number of cases
产出指标 Output indicators	农林牧渔业总产值y₁(10⁴元)	6 436 237.55	4 216 738.01	22
投入指标 Input index	农林水事务支出x₁(10⁴元)	1 284 015.39	1 581 452.76	22
	乡村劳动力数x₂(人)	2 911 736.91	842 184.63	22
	农村用电量x₃(10⁴kW)	162 439.93	135 619.14	22
	化肥施用量x₄(t)	576 108.26	224 429.76	22
	农用塑料薄膜使用量x₅(t)	61 267.09	23 445.17	22
	农业机械总动力x₆(10⁴kW)	568.24	308.10	22
	农作物播种总面积x₇(10⁴hm²)	174.85	48.05	22

指标 Index	变量 Variable	平均值 Average value	标准差 Standard deviation	个案数 Number of cases
产出指标 Output indicators	农林牧渔业总产值y₁(10⁴元)	6 436 237.55	4 216 738.01	22
投入指标 Input index	农林水事务支出x₁(10⁴元)	1 284 015.39	1 581 452.76	22
	乡村劳动力数x₂(人)	2 911 736.91	842 184.63	22
	农村用电量x₃(10⁴kW)	162 439.93	135 619.14	22
	化肥施用量x₄(t)	576 108.26	224 429.76	22
	农用塑料薄膜使用量x₅(t)	61 267.09	23 445.17	22
	农业机械总动力x₆(10⁴kW)	568.24	308.10	22
	农作物播种总面积x₇(10⁴hm²)	174.85	48.05	22

指标 index		农林牧渔业总产值y₁ The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery y₁	农林水事务支出x₁ Expenditure on agriculture, forestry and water services x₁	乡村劳动力数x₂ Number of rural labor force x₂	农村用电量x₃ Rural electricity consumption x₃	化肥施用量x₄ The amount of chemical fertilizer applied x₄	农用塑料薄膜使用量x₅ Agricultural plastic film usage x₅	农业机械总动力x₆ Total power of agricultural machinery x₆	农作物播种总面积x₇ Total sown area of crops x₇
农林牧渔业总产值y₁ The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery y₁	相关性	1	0.891^**	0.962^**	0.976^**	0.940^**	0.879^**	0.981^**	0.925^**
	显著性		0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
农林水事务支出x₁ Expenditure on agriculture, forestry and water services x₁	相关性	0.891^**	1	0.883^**	0.912^**	0.835^**	0.756^**	0.900^**	0.776^**
	显著性	0.000		0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
乡村劳动力数x₂ Number of rural labor force x₂	相关性	0.962^**	0.883^**	1	0.955^**	0.978^**	0.934^**	0.993^**	0.955^**
乡村劳动力数x₂ Number of rural labor force x₂	显著性	0.000	0.000		0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
农村用电量x₃ Rural electricity consumption x₃	相关性	0.976^**	0.912^**	0.955^**	1	0.912^**	0.879^**	0.976^**	0.923^**
农村用电量x₃ Rural electricity consumption x₃	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000		0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
化肥施用量x₄ The amount of chemical fertilizer applied x₄	相关性	0.940^**	0.835^**	0.978^**	0.912^**	1	0.962^**	0.975^**	0.962^**
化肥施用量x₄ The amount of chemical fertilizer applied x₄	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000		0.000	0.000	0.000
农用塑料薄膜使用量x₅ Agricultural plastic film usage x₅	相关性	0.879^**	0.756^**	0.934^**	0.879^**	0.962^**	1	0.928^**	0.963^**
农用塑料薄膜使用量x₅ Agricultural plastic film usage x₅	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000		0.000	0.000
农业机械总动力x₆ Total power of agricultural machinery x₆	相关性	0.981^**	0.900^**	0.993^**	0.976^**	0.975^**	0.928^**	1	0.960^**
农业机械总动力x₆ Total power of agricultural machinery x₆	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000		0.000
农作物播种总面积x₇ Total sown area of crops x₇	相关性	0.925^**	0.776^**	0.955^**	0.923^**	0.962^**	0.963^**	0.960^**	1
农作物播种总面积x₇ Total sown area of crops x₇	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

指标 index		农林牧渔业总产值y₁ The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery y₁	农林水事务支出x₁ Expenditure on agriculture, forestry and water services x₁	乡村劳动力数x₂ Number of rural labor force x₂	农村用电量x₃ Rural electricity consumption x₃	化肥施用量x₄ The amount of chemical fertilizer applied x₄	农用塑料薄膜使用量x₅ Agricultural plastic film usage x₅	农业机械总动力x₆ Total power of agricultural machinery x₆	农作物播种总面积x₇ Total sown area of crops x₇
农林牧渔业总产值y₁ The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery y₁	相关性	1	0.891^**	0.962^**	0.976^**	0.940^**	0.879^**	0.981^**	0.925^**
	显著性		0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
农林水事务支出x₁ Expenditure on agriculture, forestry and water services x₁	相关性	0.891^**	1	0.883^**	0.912^**	0.835^**	0.756^**	0.900^**	0.776^**
	显著性	0.000		0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
乡村劳动力数x₂ Number of rural labor force x₂	相关性	0.962^**	0.883^**	1	0.955^**	0.978^**	0.934^**	0.993^**	0.955^**
乡村劳动力数x₂ Number of rural labor force x₂	显著性	0.000	0.000		0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
农村用电量x₃ Rural electricity consumption x₃	相关性	0.976^**	0.912^**	0.955^**	1	0.912^**	0.879^**	0.976^**	0.923^**
农村用电量x₃ Rural electricity consumption x₃	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000		0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
化肥施用量x₄ The amount of chemical fertilizer applied x₄	相关性	0.940^**	0.835^**	0.978^**	0.912^**	1	0.962^**	0.975^**	0.962^**
化肥施用量x₄ The amount of chemical fertilizer applied x₄	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000		0.000	0.000	0.000
农用塑料薄膜使用量x₅ Agricultural plastic film usage x₅	相关性	0.879^**	0.756^**	0.934^**	0.879^**	0.962^**	1	0.928^**	0.963^**
农用塑料薄膜使用量x₅ Agricultural plastic film usage x₅	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000		0.000	0.000
农业机械总动力x₆ Total power of agricultural machinery x₆	相关性	0.981^**	0.900^**	0.993^**	0.976^**	0.975^**	0.928^**	1	0.960^**
农业机械总动力x₆ Total power of agricultural machinery x₆	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000		0.000
农作物播种总面积x₇ Total sown area of crops x₇	相关性	0.925^**	0.776^**	0.955^**	0.923^**	0.962^**	0.963^**	0.960^**	1
农作物播种总面积x₇ Total sown area of crops x₇	显著性	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

区域Region	Crste	Vrste	Scale
新疆南疆四地州 Four prefectures in Southern Xinjiang	0.954	0.969	0.984
阿克苏地区 Aksu region	0.913	0.930	0.980
克孜勒苏柯尔克孜自治州 Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture	0.959	0.973	0.986
喀什地区 Kashgar Region	0.980	0.986	0.994
和田地区 Hotan Region	0.962	0.986	0.975