中国蔬菜生产的时空变迁与比较优势分析

doi:10.6048/j.issn.1001-4330.2019.10.021

新疆农业科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (10): 1948-1958.DOI: 10.6048/j.issn.1001-4330.2019.10.021

• 土壤肥料·微生物·植物保护·农产品加工·农业经济 • 上一篇

中国蔬菜生产的时空变迁与比较优势分析

于丽艳^1,2, 穆月英²

1.天津科技大学经济与管理学院,天津 300222 ;
2.中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京 100083

收稿日期:2019-07-14 发布日期:2019-11-22
通信作者: 穆月英(1963-),女,山西大同人,教授,博士生导师,研究方向为农业经济,(E-mail)yueyingmu@cau.edu.cn
作者简介:于丽艳(1977-),女,天津宁河人,博士研究生,副教授,研究方向为农业经济
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金“空间均衡视角下蔬菜跨区域供给、地区结构及供给效应研究”(71773121);国家社科基金重大项目“我国粮食生产的水资源时空匹配及优化路径研究”(18ZDA074);国家重点研发计划项目“粮食作物丰产增效资源配置机理与种植模式优化—粮食主产区作物种植模式资源效率与生态经济评价”(2016YFD0300210);现代农业产业技术体系“北京市果类蔬菜产业创新团队项目”(BAIC01—2018);天津市哲学社会科学规划研究项目“京津冀农业生产的空间布局优化”(TJYY17—012);天津市教委科研计划项目“我国蔬菜生产区域变迁、差异分解及其成因”(2018SK021);天津市教委重大课题“京津冀区域协同的食品安全智慧监管体系构建”(2017JWZD22)

Analysis of the Temporal and Spatial Changes and Comparative Advantages of Vegetable Production in China

YU Li-yan^1.2, MU Yue-ying²

1.College of Economics and Management, Tianjin University of Science and Technology, Tianjin 300222, China;
2.College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China

Received:2019-07-14 Published:2019-11-22
Correspondence author: MU Yue-ying(1963-),female, native place: Datong, Shanxi. Professor, DAG; research field: Agricultural economic theory and policy,(E-mail) yueyingmu@cau.edu.cn

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 【目的】分析中国蔬菜生产的区域变迁与其比较优势的一致性,从调整比较优势角度促进全国蔬菜生产合理布局。【方法】基于2000年到2016年中国蔬菜生产数据,系统分析中国蔬菜生产的区域变迁,利用综合比较优势分析法和资源禀赋系数分析法,测度中国蔬菜生产的区域比较优势,利用面板回归,分析比较优势对蔬菜生产布局的影响。【结果】中国蔬菜产量前10位的省份蔬菜产量占全国蔬菜总产量的70%,东部地区10个省市蔬菜产量占全国蔬菜总产量的40%以上。东部地区整体综合比较优势指数和资源禀赋系数大于1,中部地区小于或等于1,东北地区小于1;西部地区基本等于1。各地区综合比较优势每变化1%,会引起其蔬菜播种面积占全国比重同方向变化0.8%。【结论】中国蔬菜生产集中度较高;东部地区是中国蔬菜主产区,在蔬菜生产方面具有比较优势,但其主产区地位在不断下降;东北地区蔬菜生产在中国的地位明显下降,其比较优势也呈现同步明显下降;西部地区蔬菜生产在全国地位明显上升,其比较优势同步上升。比较优势是中国蔬菜生产布局的重要影响因素。

关键词: 蔬菜生产; 区域变迁; 综合比较优势指数; 资源禀赋系数

Abstract: 【Objective】 To investigate the consistency of regional changes in China's vegetable production and its comparative advantages, and promote the distribution of vegetable production in the country from the perspective of adjusting comparative advantage. 【Method】 Based on the Chinese vegetable production data from 1990 to 2016, this paper systematically sorted out the regional changes of Chinese vegetable production, and used the comprehensive comparative advantage analysis method and the resource endowment coefficient analysis method to measure the regional comparative advantages. Furthermore, the panel regression was employed to analyze the impact of comparative advantages on the layout of vegetable production. 【Results】 The vegetable output of the top 10 provinces in China accounted for 70% of the total vegetable output in the country. The 10 provinces in the eastern region accounted for more than 40% of the total vegetable output in the country. The overall comprehensive comparative advantage index and resource endowment coefficient in the eastern region was greater than 1, the central region was less than or equal to 1, the northeast region was less than 1; the western region was equal to 1. For every 1% change in the comprehensive comparative advantage of each region, the sown area of vegetables in the whole country will change 0.8% in the same direction. 【Conclusion】 China's vegetable production concentration is high. The eastern region is China's main vegetable producing area, with comparative advantages in vegetable production, but its status is declining. The status of vegetable production in the Northeast has declined significantly in China, and its comparative advantage has also dropped significantly. Vegetable production in the western region has increased significantly in the country, and its comparative advantage has risen simultaneously. Comparative advantage is an important factor influencing the layout of Chinese vegetable production.

Key words: vegetable production; regional changes; AAI; resource endowment coefficient

中图分类号:

:F323.3

于丽艳, 穆月英. 中国蔬菜生产的时空变迁与比较优势分析[J]. 新疆农业科学, 2019, 56(10): 1948-1958.

YU Li-yan, MU Yue-ying. Analysis of the Temporal and Spatial Changes and Comparative Advantages of Vegetable Production in China[J]. Xinjiang Agricultural Sciences, 2019, 56(10): 1948-1958.

参考文献

[1] 包玉泽.中国蔬菜产业的布局及其演化研究—1990~2014年[J].干旱区资源与环境,2018,32(11): 53-58.;BAO Yu-ze, et al. Research on the Distribution and Evolution of China's Vegetable Industry — 1990-2014 [J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2018,32(11):53-58.
[2]张真和. 我国蔬菜产业的“五带七区”布局[J]. 西北园艺(蔬菜), 2005,(6): 47.;ZHANG Zhen-he. The layout of the "five belts and seven districts" of China's vegetable industry[J]. Northwest Horticulture (Vegetables), 2005, (6): 47.
[3] 何东. 广州市蔬菜生产布局与“渡淡”问题探讨[J]. 热带地理,1994,(2): 127-132.;HE Dong. Discussion on the Distribution of Vegetable Production in Guangzhou and the Problem of "Over the Low Season"[J]. Tropical Geography, 1994,(2):127-132.
[4] 黄斌民. 广东蔬菜产业及优势区域布局[J]. 中国蔬菜,2007,(11): 5-7.;HUANG Bin-min. Guangdong vegetable industry and advantageous regional layout [J]. China Vegetables, 2007,(11): 5-7.
[5] 宋建新,于凤玲,聂承华,等. 河北省蔬菜产业优势区域布局及发展对策[J]. 中国蔬菜, 2007,(9):6-8.;SONG Jian-xin, YU Feng-ling, NIE Cheng-hua, et al. Regional Distribution and Development Countermeasures of Vegetable Industry Advantages in Hebei Province[J]. China Vegetables, 2007,(9):6-8.
[6] 崔德祥,李桂莲,王谋强,等. 贵州蔬菜产业发展的规划与布局[J]. 贵州农业科学, 2005,(S1): 34-36.;CUIDe-xiang, LIGui-lian, WANGMou-qiang, et al. Planning and layout of the development of vegetable industry in Guizhou [J]. Guizhou Agricultural Sciences, 2005,(S1): 34-36.
[7] 吴建寨,沈辰,王盛威,等. 中国蔬菜生产空间集聚演变、机制、效应及政策应对[J]. 中国农业科学, 2015,(8): 1 641-1 649.;WU Jian-zhai, SHEN Chen, WANG Sheng-wei, et al. The Evolution, Principles, Effects and Policy Responses of Spatial Distribution of Vegetable Production in China[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2015,(8): 1,641-1,649.
[8] 吴文劼. 我国蔬菜生产集聚的时空特征和影响因素分析[D]. 武汉:华中农业大学硕士论文,2015.;WU Wen-jie. Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Vegetable Production Agglomeration in China [D]. Master Dissertation. Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan,2015.
[9] 纪龙,吴文劼. 我国蔬菜生产地理集聚的时空特征及影响因素[J]. 经济地理, 2015,(9): 141-148.;JI Long, WU Wen-jie. Temporal and Spatial Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Geographical Agglomeration of Vegetable Production in China[J]. Economic Geography, 2015,(9): 141-148.
[10] 李艳梅,孙焱鑫,刘玉,等. 京津冀地区蔬菜生产的时空分异及分区研究[J]. 经济地理, 2015,(1): 89-95.;LI Yan-mei, SUN Yan-xin, LIU Yu, et al.Spatial and Temporal Variation and Zoning of Vegetable Production in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region[J]. Economic Geography, 2015,(1): 89-95.
[11] 吴建寨,张建华,宋伟,等. 中国蔬菜区域生产优势度演变分析[J]. 中国农业资源与区划, 2016, 37(4): 154-160.;WU Jian-zhai, ZHANG Jian-hua, SONG Wei, et al. Analysis on the evolution of the dominant degree of vegetable production in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2016, 37(4): 154-160.
[12] 黄季焜,牛先芳,智华勇,等. 蔬菜生产和种植结构调整的影响因素分析[J]. 农业经济问题, 2007,(7): 4-10,110.;HUANG Ji-kun, NIU Xian-fang, ZHI Hua-yong, et al. Analysis of Factors Affecting Vegetable Production and Planting Structure Adjustment [J].Issues in Agricultural Economy,2007,(7): 4-10,110.
[13] 钟鑫,张忠明. 我国蔬菜生产区域特征及比较优势研究[J]. 中国食物与营养, 2014,20(6): 24-28.;ZHONG Xin, ZHANG Zhong-ming. Study on Regional Characteristics and Comparative Advantages of Vegetable Production in China [J]. Food and Nutrition in China, 2014,20(6): 24-28.
[14] 穆月英, 赵双双,赵霞. 北京市蔬菜生产的优势区域布局与比较[J]. 中国蔬菜, 2011,(Z1): 8-12.;MU Yue-ying, ZHAO Shuang-shuang, ZHAO Xia. The Advantageous Regional Distribution and Comparison of Vegetable Production in Beijing [J]. China Vegetables, 2011, (Z1):8-12.
[15] 王刘坤,祁春节. 中国柑橘主产区的区域比较优势及其影响因素研究—基于省级面板数据的实证分析[J] 中国农业资源与区划,2018,(11):1-9.;WANG Liu-kun, QI Chun-jie. Regional comparative advantage and its influencing factors in China's main citrus production areas—based on empirical analysis of provincial panel data [J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2018,(11):1-9.

中国蔬菜生产的时空变迁与比较优势分析

Analysis of the Temporal and Spatial Changes and Comparative Advantages of Vegetable Production in China

PDF下载

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 0

编辑推荐

Metrics